The CW’s renew/cancel standings for week 11 of the 2016-17 season don’t see the needle moving much after a big crossover stunt.

Here are the standings, and here’s an explanation of the Bear’s methodology.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
The Vampire Diaries Final season 0.37 0.17
Crazy Ex-Girlfriend 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.2 0.0
Frequency 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.31 0.11
No Tomorrow 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.31 0.11
Legends of Tomorrow 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.7 0.5
Arrow 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.75 0.55
Supernatural 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.66 0.46
Jane the Virgin 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.39 0.19
Supergirl 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.85 0.65
The Flash 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.15 0.95

 

The CW successfully pulled off its four-show crossover last week, giving each of its DC Comics-based series a ratings jolt. “Supergirl,” “The Flash,” “Arrow” and “Legends of Tomorrow” all either tied or set season highs.

Finding a way to jack up the numbers, even if it’s just for a week as will most likely be the case here, is never a bad thing. But it also doesn’t change much for these shows, or The CW as a whole.

All four DC shows were likely (at the very least) to return anyway. Also, the increases for those four — all 8 o’clock shows — didn’t carry over to the next hour. “Jane the Virgin,” “No Tomorrow,” “Frequency” and “Supernatural” all put up ratings on par with their season averages, despite the bigger lead-ins.

The CW got a nice little bump to its overall average last week, but the outlook for its shows hasn’t budged.

Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number. There is little variance for The CW on Friday, so the multiplier is not used.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

  • http://foolishwatcher.com/2016/12/07/is-your-favorite-fall-show-about-to-be-cancelled-maybe-possibly-it-could-happen/ Is your favorite fall show about to be cancelled? MAYBE. POSSIBLY. IT COULD HAPPEN. – foolish watcher

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