Here are The CW’s renew/cancel standings for week 17 of the 2017-18 season.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Valor 🐻 🐻 0.22 0.02
Crazy Ex-Girlfriend 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.2 0.0
Jane the Virgin 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.26 0.06
Dynasty 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.22 0.02
Arrow 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.52 0.32
Supernatural 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.6 0.4
Riverdale 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.56 0.36
Supergirl 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.55 0.35
Legends of Tomorrow 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.56 0.36
Black Lightning 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.80 0.60
The Flash 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.90 0.70

 

Given The CW’s bias toward renewing most of its shows, “Black Lightning” was always going to open as a likely renewal, barring an outright disaster for its premiere in the ratings.

“Black Lightning’s” premiere was the opposite of a disaster, though. It was the best series debut for the network in two years, and thus it begins life on the Renew/Cancel Index as a sure thing for 2018-19.

Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2018

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number. There is little variance for The CW on Friday, so the multiplier is not used.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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