Here are The CW’s renew/cancel standings for week 7 of the 2017-18 season. They’re bullish on a veteran series.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Valor||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.24||0.04|
|Crazy Ex-Girlfriend||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.2||0.0|
|Jane the Virgin||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.26||0.06|
|Dynasty||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.24||0.04|
|Arrow||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.52||0.32|
|Supernatural||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.64||0.44|
|Riverdale||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.62||0.42|
|Supergirl||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.5||0.3|
|Legends of Tomorrow||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.5||0.3|
|The Flash||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.92||0.72|
With the move from Monday to Friday this season, its comes as no surprise at all that ratings for “Jane the Virgin” have slipped.
They haven’t slipped enough, however, for the show to be in much danger. The Bear considers it a likely renewal.
Consider: “Jane’s” 0.26 rating through five episodes is down about 32 percent from the same time last season. That’s about what you might expect, as Fridays are lower-traffic nights.
But when you also consider “Jane the Virgin’s” lead-in is about 74 percent smaller than what it had last year (0.2 for “Crazy Ex-Girlfriend” vs. 0.76 for “Supergirl”), “Jane’s” relative stability looks that much better.
The Bear would expect “Jane the Virgin” to make it through to next season based on that.
Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2018|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number. There is little variance for The CW on Friday, so the multiplier is not used.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.