Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewCBSShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results through November 6, 2011):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|A Gifted Man (F)||😳||0.37|
|CSI:NY (F)||😐 😐 😐||0.51|
|Blue Bloods (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.56|
|The Good Wife||😐 😐 😐||0.63|
|CSI: Miami||😐 😐 😐||0.66|
|How To Be A Gentleman||canceled||0.74|
|Unforgettable||😐 😐 😐||0.75|
|The Mentalist||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.79|
|Person Of Interest||😐 😐 😐||0.83|
|CSI||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.85|
|Hawaii Five-0||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.93|
|NCIS: Los Angeles||1.04|
|Rules of Engagement||1.06|
|Mike & Molly||1.24|
|How I Met Your Mother||renewed||1.33|
|2 Broke Girls||1.44|
|Big Bang Theory||renewed||1.46|
|Two And A Half Men||1.96|
As usual, CBS drama renewals and cancellations are the trickiest to predict.
A few, like the certain to be canceled A Gifted Man are easy to predict, but with CBS basing so much of its decisions on syndication economics (which we can only guess at), deciding between a marginally rated rookie like Unforgettable and an even worse rated, but third year drama like The Good Wife, and yet worse rated, but already syndicated, veterans like CSI: Miami and CSI: NY is likely not just a difficult decision for CBS, it’s proved difficult for us to predict as well.
You can reasonably count on CBS to cancel 3 of the dramas that will be on the schedule later this year (and potentially one more if they decide to expand their sitcom hours). As to which ones those will be, the ratings have not yet given us a clear signal, but they’ll almost certainly be among those in the “toss up” range now.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.