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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-29, 2013):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|The Good Wife||😐 😐 😐||0.53|
|Hawaii Five-0 (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.56|
|The Mentalist||😐 😐 😐||0.56|
|Blue Bloods (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.60|
|CSI||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.70|
|Elementary||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.74|
|Person Of Interest||0.81|
|2 Broke Girls||0.98|
|Two And A Half Men||1.02|
|NCIS: Los Angeles||1.05|
|How I Met Your Mother||final season||1.30|
|The Crazy Ones||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.37|
|The Big Bang Theory||2.03|
Even though it’s a “limited series”, Hostages would be renewed (just like that other limited series Under The Dome) were its ratings good enough. They aren’t. It’s likely to be canceled. For you comment thread lawyers, that means “It will not be renewed”.
Mom premiered as CBS’s lowest rated sitcom, and they always cancel their lowest rated sitcom (and they will, even with HIMYM ending), so for at least this week (until others go lower) it is likely to be canceled.
Unlike the Bubble Watch, the bear’s not nearly ready to tap Hawaii Five-0 as likely to be canceled. This could be Hawaii Five-0’s final season, but it started better than The Good Wife and even with The Mentalist, and it airs on Friday, which carries a certain ratings forgiveness. The bear wouldn’t be surprised if it get lumped together in a group with The Mentalist and The Good Wife where one or two will be canceled, but the bear will puzzle over which, but let’s wait and see.
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2014
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.