Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewCBSShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network’s decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-November 25, 2012):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Made In Jersey (F)*||canceled||0.36|
|CSI:NY (F)||😐 😐 😐||0.52|
|Blue Bloods (F)||0.53|
|The Good Wife||😐 😐 😐||0.67|
|The Mentalist||😐 😐 😐||0.68|
|CSI||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.92|
|Elementary||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.92|
|Person Of Interest||1.11|
|Mike & Molly||1.11|
|NCIS: Los Angeles||1.13|
|How I Met Your Mother**||1.19|
|2 Broke Girls||1.29|
|Two And A Half Men**||1.43|
|Big Bang Theory||already renewed||1.91|
What is it in the water at the Two And A Half Men set that makes its actors bite the hands that pay them millions of dollars a year?
While it’s amusing to see yet another highly paid actor misplace his marbles, it’s probably irrelevant to the future of the show. TAAHM is CBS’ #2 rated show this season, and they’ll pull out all the stops to keep it on the air, that’s why it will remain “certain to be renewed”. As always, my predictions do not attempt to take into account the showrunner or producer deciding “to heck with these whackjob actors, I’m done!” and walk away from his own pile of money. Insistent commenters are free to do so, of course.
CBS has debuted three new dramas every Fall since 2006-7. I’d expect them to do the same next Fall. So unless they have some schedule wizardry up their sleeves I haven’t seen before (holding back Undercover Boss won’t help!) they’ll need to cancel three of their Fall 2012 dramas to make room for three more next Fall. With Made In Jersey gone, and Vegas a likely cancellation, that means one more Fall drama must go. It’s virtually certain that CBS will cancel one of CSI:NY, The Good Wife, or The Mentalist. And if spring drama Golden Boy is renewed, two from that list will need to be canceled.
Why are Hawaii Five-0 and Blue Bloods “certain to be renewed”? Both dramas are in their third seasons and need a fourth to reach the “magic” 88 episodes for stripped syndication. Both are “certain to be renewed” for their fourth seasons next year. Read more about that here.
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2013
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.