Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewCBSShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- March 4, 2012):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|A Gifted Man (F)||😳||0.45|
|CSI:NY (F)||😐 😐 😐||0.55|
|Blue Bloods (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.56|
|The Good Wife||😐 😐 😐||0.71|
|How To Be A Gentleman *||canceled||0.74|
|CSI: Miami||😐 😐 😐||0.75|
|Hawaii Five-0||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.89|
|The Mentalist||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.92|
|CSI||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.91|
|Person Of Interest||1.02|
|NCIS: Los Angeles||1.02|
|Rules of Engagement||😐 😐 😐 **||1.02|
|Rob*||😐 😐 😐||1.07|
|Mike & Molly||1.12|
|How I Met Your Mother||renewed||1.25|
|2 Broke Girls||1.35|
|Two And A Half Men||1.36|
|Big Bang Theory||renewed||1.75|
Earlier this year I wondered whether it was finally the season when one or more of the CSI’s would be canceled. Now I’m certain one will be canceled.
With A Gifted Man and Unforgettable headed towards cancellation, CBS is certain to cancel one more drama to make room on next Fall’s schedule. It will be one of those in the title. Count on it. Sadly, syndication economics (and show costs) will tip that decision, and those are substantially hidden from us, so identifying the likely cancellation isn’t going to get any easier going forward.
If CBS decides to increase their sitcom time next Fall by an hour, they may cancel two of them. Stay tuned.
Rob’s season finale raings without a Big Bang Theory lead in dropped to a series low. It will remain a “toss up” for renewal or cancellation, but I think it only has a chance to return if CBS expands its sitcom time on its Fall 2012 schedule.
The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did CBS’ shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
** shows that have not yet aired new episodes in 2012 have their Fall 2011 predictions listed instead.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.