Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewCBSShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
bear_in_flight_by_imaginism-d3brckq
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2014-15 season in May, 2015. (includes results from December 29, 2014 – April 12, 2015):

v:* {behavior:url(#default#VML);}
o:* {behavior:url(#default#VML);}
x:* {behavior:url(#default#VML);}
.shape {behavior:url(#default#VML);}

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Battle Creek 😳 0.46
The Dovekeepers* mini-series 0.51
The Good Wife 😐 😐 😐 0.61
CSI* 😳 0.66
The Mentalist* final season complete 0.70
Hawaii Five-0 (F) 😐 😐 😐 0.70
Stalker* 😳 0.72
Blue Bloods (F) 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 0.73
Elementary :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.74
Madam Secretary renewed 0.74
The Millers* canceled 0.83
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.84
CSI:Cyber 😐 😐 😐 0.84
The McCarthys* canceled 0.84
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.90
NCIS: New Orleans renewed 1.09
Criminal Minds 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 1.10
Mike & Molly renewed 1.10
2 Broke Girls renewed 1.16
Scorpion renewed 1.17
Two And A Half Men* final season complete 1.21
Mom renewed 1.28
NCIS :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.33
The Odd Couple :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.38
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.32


The cancellation bear has noted that predicting which of the three low rated CBS veteran dramas will follow CSI into his jaws is almost a coin flip, but he’s only got three more prediction posts before his final oddsmakers predictions, so it’s time to get a move on.

Given that Hawaii Five-O and Blue Bloods are the same age, the bear’s going to guess they are similar in cost and contract situations. We don’t know the details of their syndication deals (anyone claims to either works for CBS Studios sales or is lying), so that doesn’t help with predictions. The only things we do know publicly are that Blue Bloods ratings are slightly higher than Hawaii Five-0, in a 10pm timeslot that has slightly less overall TV watching than the 9pm timeslot. Given that, if one of those two gets canceled this season, it probably won’t be Blue Bloods.

Criminal Minds’ renewal could hinge on new contracts with the stars, but there is at least some chance the highly rated show could continue without them. The bear assumes the contracts will get done or that the show will continue with new actors,. Still, that’s not certain, hence he’s moving his prediction for it to just “likely to be renewed”.

Previous weeks:

How is Elementary certain to be renewed with such low ratings? Read this.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post’s comments, is the place to do that. It’s more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. While this post will likely be viewed many tens of thousands of times, the commenting audience is a tiny fraction of that (a few hundred comments is typical). Tens of thousands of fans follow the bear on Twitter.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

😳 certain to be cancelled by May, 2015
😥 😥 more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2015
😐 😐 😐 toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2015
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2015
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2015


The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

Posted by:Steve Baron

VP/Digital for TV station ownership group; Dad to young twins, runner, skier & spend a lot of times in airplanes.

blog comments powered by Disqus