Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewCBSShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2014-15 season in May, 2015. (includes results from December 29, 2014 – April 26, 2015):

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Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Battle Creek 😳 0.44
The Dovekeepers* mini-series 0.51
The Good Wife 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 0.59
CSI* 😳 0.66
Hawaii Five-0 (F) 😥 😥 0.70
The Mentalist* final season complete 0.70
Madam Secretary renewed 0.71
Blue Bloods (F) 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 0.72
Stalker* 😳 0.72
Elementary :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.74
The Millers* canceled 0.83
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.84
CSI:Cyber 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 0.84
The McCarthys* canceled 0.84
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.89
NCIS: New Orleans renewed 1.09
Mike & Molly renewed 1.10
Criminal Minds 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 1.11
2 Broke Girls renewed 1.14
Scorpion renewed 1.16
Two And A Half Men* final season complete 1.21
Mom renewed 1.25
NCIS :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.31
The Odd Couple :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.32
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.27


CSI:Cyber relative ratings have held at the high end of the “toss up” range for a few weeks. Were this November, the cancellation bear would be keeping his prediction for it at a “toss up”, but late April is time for the bear to stop straddling the fence. The bear’s going against the historical trend with a change of CSI:Cyber to “likely to be renewed”.

It’s been nine years (2006, The Unit) since CBS renewed a mid-season premiered drama. The cancellation bear doesn’t like predicting against a historical record like that, but he’s going for it nevertheless.

In another marginal call, the bear’s moved his prediction for Hawaii Five-0 to “likely canceled”. He’s thought that he’d consume another CBS veteran drama this season besides CSI, and believes it will be H50.

Next week: Final % renewal guesses from the bear and @TVTomShaw.

Previous weeks:

How is Elementary certain to be renewed with such low ratings? Read this.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him.

If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post’s comments, is the place to do it. It’s more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. Just click here !function(d,s,id){var js,fjs=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],p=/^http:/.test(d.location)?’http’:’https’;if(!d.getElementById(id)){js=d.createElement(s);js.id=id;js.src=p+’://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js’;fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js,fjs);}}(document, ‘script’, ‘twitter-wjs’);

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

😳 certain to be cancelled by May, 2015
😥 😥 more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2015
😐 😐 😐 toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2015
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2015
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2015


The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

Posted by:Steve Baron

VP/Digital for TV station ownership group; Dad to young twins, runner, skier & spend a lot of times in airplanes.

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