Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewCBSShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from December 30, 2013 – March 9, 2014):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Blue Bloods (F)||0.63|
|The Good Wife||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.64|
|Hawaii Five-0 (F)||0.66|
|The Mentalist||😥 😥||0.72|
|We Are Men*||canceled||0.74|
|Person Of Interest||0.82|
|The Crazy Ones||😐 😐 😐||0.83|
|Mom||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.92|
|Two And A Half Men||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.97|
|Mike & Molly||1.01|
|NCIS: Los Angeles||1.03|
|2 Broke Girls||1.18|
|How I Met Your Mother||final season||1.48|
|The Big Bang Theory||(renewed 3/12)||2.28|
3/13 Update: CBS has renewed NCIS, The Millers, 2 Broke Girls, Criminal Minds, NCIS:Los Angeles, Mike & Molly, Mom, Person Of Interest, CSI, Elementary, Hawaii Five-0, Blue Bloods and The Good Wife.
The move to 9pm seems to be just what the doctor ordered for Two And A Half Men. Its ratings for the last two weeks have been far above the CBS scripted average. For that reason, the cancellation bear is elevating his prediction for the show to “likely to be renewed”. Why not “certain to be renewed”? The show is very expensive for Warner Brothers, and they’ve got to continue to absorb a lot of that cost to reap the future syndication windfall. The bear guesses they will, but he can’t be certain of it.
Cue the crazy anti-fan rants of “The show has sucked since (a) forever, (b) Sheen left, (c) the writers got lazy, (d) the Giants won two of the last four World Series.” (oops, that last reason is evidence that the Dodgers suck!)
Late update: While the bear makes a point of never listening to what TV execs say in public, Les Moonves’ comments just push the bear in the direction he was likely going by the end of the season anyway. Therefore, the bear has also moved Mom, and The Good Wife up to “likely to be renewed”. He’s inclined to move his prediction for The Crazy Ones down to “likely to be canceled”, but there’s still a chance CBS holds back a veteran sitcom from the Fall premiere week (like they did Mike & Molly this season) which would mean no more sitcom cancellations this season. The bear will think about it a bit more.
From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2014.
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post’s comments, is now the best place to do that. It’s more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. While this post will likely be viewed over 40,000 times, the comments audience is a tiny fraction of that (a few hundred comments is typical). 24,000 follow the bear on Twitter.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2014|
|😥 😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014|
|😐 😐 😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2014|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How have the Renew / Cancel Index Predictions Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.