Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewCBSShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2-29, 2012):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|A Gifted Man (F)||😳||0.43|
|Blue Bloods (F)||🙂🙂🙂🙂||0.55|
|The Good Wife||😐😐😐||0.71|
|How To Be A Gentleman *||canceled||0.74|
|Person Of Interest||0.98|
|Rules of Engagement||😐😐😐 **||1.02|
|NCIS: Los Angeles||1.04|
|Mike & Molly||1.17|
|How I Met Your Mother||renewed||1.27|
|2 Broke Girls||1.38|
|Two And A Half Men||1.40|
|Big Bang Theory||renewed||1.65|
Freshman spring sitcom Rob’s third episode drew the same 3.5 rating as its second. That’s more early ratings stability than last year’s (now canceled) $#*! My Dad Says showed after three episodes. Every week of reasonably stable ratings at that level moves Rob closer to renewal for a second season.
If Rob survives, CBS will have to do some schedule juggling next Fall.
CBS will either:
1. Hold one or more comedies currently on the schedule off the Fall schedule.
2. Expand their comedy time and reduce their drama time. That would require them to cancel another drama currently on the schedule, or hold it off the Fall schedule.
3. Premiere no new comedies next Fall.
Among the three, I think #2 is more likely than #1, but that’s a wild guess. #3 would require some sort of pilot season melt down.
More on that choice in future weeks if it looks like Rob is closing in on renewal.
The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did CBS’ shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
** shows that have not yet aired new episodes in 2012 have their Fall 2011 predictions listed instead.
- :oops: – certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
- 😐😐 :| – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- 🙂🙂🙂 :) – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- :mrgreen: – certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.