Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewCBSShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 29, 2012):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|A Gifted Man (F)*||😳||0.45|
|CSI:NY (F)||😐 😐 😐||0.57|
|Blue Bloods (F)||renewed||0.58|
|The Good Wife*||renewed||0.68|
|CSI: Miami||😐 😐 😐||0.73|
|How To Be A Gentleman *||canceled||0.74|
|Rules of Engagement||😐 😐 😐||1.02|
|NCIS: Los Angeles||renewed||1.03|
|Person Of Interest||renewed||1.06|
|Rob*||😐 😐 😐||1.07|
|Mike & Molly||renewed||1.15|
|How I Met Your Mother||renewed||1.27|
|2 Broke Girls||renewed||1.35|
|Two And A Half Men||1.39|
|Big Bang Theory||renewed||1.75|
Nobody’s happier than I am that the recycling of CBS topics and headlines in this weekly post is over after this week.
While I can imagine a scenario where CBS doesn’t expand its sitcom time and Rules of Engagement gets renewed, I don’t think that’s a likely scenario. If CBS doesn’t expand its sitcom time, I think it’s likely that both Rules and Rob are canceled.
However if CBS does expand its sitcom time by an hour (which seems likely but not certain) then these are the outcomes I see in order of their decreasing likelihood.
- Rules is renewed. Rob is canceled.
- Both are renewed.
- Both are canceled.
- Rob is renewed. Rules is canceled. I view this as highly unlikely.
To make room for new dramas in next Fall’s schedule, CBS will cancel at least one of the CSI offspring (NY or Miami), and maybe both. The conventional wisdom is that if its only one NY goes and Miami stays, but I don’t think there’s enough behind that conventional wisdom to trust it.
This is the last “regular” CBS Renew/Cancel Index post of the 2011-12 season. Next week Robert and I combine for our annual “Oddsmakers” final predictions for the season.
The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did CBS’ shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.