Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewCBSShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results through October 9, 2011):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|A Gifted Man (F)||😳||0.36|
|CSI:NY (F)||😐 😐 😐||0.49|
|Blue Bloods (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.54|
|The Good Wife||😐 😐 😐||0.62|
|CSI: Miami||😐 😐 😐||0.66|
|How To Be A Gentleman||canceled||0.74|
|Unforgettable||😐 😐 😐||0.75|
|The Mentalist||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.77|
|Person Of Interest||😐 😐 😐||0.80|
|CSI||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.88|
|Hawaii Five-0||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.94|
|NCIS: Los Angeles||1.01|
|Mike & Molly||1.30|
|How I Met Your Mother||renewed||1.35|
|Big Bang Theory||renewed||1.39|
|2 Broke Girls||1.54|
|Two And A Half Men||2.32|
|Rules of Engagement||not premiered|
Friday’s A Gifted Man is heading for cancellation no later than the end of this season, with almost no chance that it extends beyond its 13 episode order. A more interesting question is whether it will survive long enough to air during November sweeps? AGM fanboy/girl’s will squeal “Of course, it gets a squinty jillion average viewers!”, but that belies their lack of understanding about of how CBS dealt with its lowest rated rookie dramas until last season.
Last year CBS’s trumpeted the fact that they’d given full season orders to all their rookie shows. And a PR victory it was, since prior to last season they’d yanked their lowest rated rookie drama off the air before or just after the November sweeps period (which begins Oct 27 this season).
Here’s your handicapping info on CBS rookie drama early exits:
- 2010 CBS gives all its Fall rookie shows a full season order (waiting until spring to do its canceling)
- 2009 Three Rivers was yanked off the schedule in early December
- 2008 The Ex List was yanked off the schedule just prior to November sweeps
- 2007 Viva Laughlin was yanked off the schedule just prior to November sweeps
What’s your guess?
How To Be A Gentleman was pulled from its timeslot and defacto canceled as predicted last week. Too all the commenters who asked “Too Soon?” on the prediction, obviously it was not.
As CBS’s lowest rated non-Friday scripted show The Good Wife shows the ratings pain CBS will endure for shiny awards. Unlike every other non-rookie drama on the network, it still has no syndication deal in place.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.