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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-October 13, 2013):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Beauty And The Beast||😥 😥||0.35|
|Hart Of Dixie||0.46|
|The Tomorrow People||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.04|
|The Originals||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.10|
With most of CW’s Fall premieres now behind us, the early news is grim for Beauty & The Beast. The cancellation bear correctly predicted it would be renewed last season, but with a premiere rating of just a 0.3, he’s moving it directly to “likely to be canceled” this season.
The non-Monday CW ratings last week were all in a range that suggests all of those shows will be renewed. The bear has rookie’s The Originals and The Tomorrow People as “likely to be renewed” until he sees another episode or two’s ratings. As always, predictions are liable to change quickly this early in the season.
The CW syndication gods will demand that Hart Of Dixie be renewed for a fourth season. Maybe it’ll be a short one like Nikita’s, or maybe not. The bear doesn’t get into predicting episode orders. Crazy fans, and anti-fans, who’d like to predict in the comments are welcome to.
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2014
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.