Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewCwShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network’s decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-November 25, 2012):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Nikita (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.38|
|Emily Owens, M.D.||😳 (canceled 11/28)||0.52|
|Gossip Girl||final season||0.53|
|90210||😐 😐 😐||0.64|
|Hart Of Dixie||😐 😐 😐||0.79|
|Beauty And The Beast||😐 😐 😐||1.01|
11/28 Update: Emily Owens, MD has been canceled.
As many commenters have noted, the CW hasn’t released its entire mid-season/spring schedule yet. One likely reason for that could be that it won’t include Emily Owens, M.D. and networks typically want to put out bad news for shows that are still airing as late as possible. Emily Owens is certain to be canceled by the end of the season.
CW dramas The Beauty & The Beast, Hart Of Dixie and 90210 are all still “toss ups” for cancellation or renewal by the end of the season. Unlikely those predictions change before the end of 2012.
How can Nikita with absolutely “look away” bad ratings be “likely to be renewed”? The pull of a fourth season for syndication purposes is one of the strongest forces in the TV universe. Read more about it here.
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.