Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewCwShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2014-15 season in May, 2015. (includes results from September 15-December 21, 2014):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Hart Of Dixie||😐 😐 😐||0.51|
|Reign||😐 😐 😐||0.53|
|Jane The Virgin||😐 😐 😐||0.59|
|The 100||😐 😐 😐||0.68|
|The Originals||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.80|
We’re into the holiday season for the Renew / Cancel Index and this post before the cancellation bear’s holiday break gives readers a chance to pick which shows they’d cancel were they a network programmer. You can vote as many times as you’d like, pick as many as you’d like. The bear has included every show still on the air, even canceled ones, so that no one feels left out!
The observant will note that the bear has started his prediction for Hart of Dixie at a “toss up” after its low rated season premiere last week, three weeks before episode two. The bear promises that prediction will change in early 2015, when he can put it into a headline.
Scheduling note: Next week will feature special New Year’s posts from Bubble Watch’s Tom Shaw. The Cancellation Bear will return with new Indexes and predictions on January 6, 2015 and will then only use the ratings since December 29, 2014 in his calculations for the remainder of the season. Expect some prediction changes in the first weeks of 2015.
While we wait for the return of Bubble Watch, here are some CW notes from Tom Shaw:Nothing new from Tom this week.
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post’s comments, is the place to do that. It’s more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. While this post will likely be viewed many tens of thousands of times, the commenting audience is a tiny fraction of that (a few hundred comments is typical). Tens of thousands of fans follow the bear on Twitter.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2015|
|😥 😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2015|
|😐 😐 😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2015|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2015|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2015|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.