Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewCwShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from September 12-18, 2011):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|90210||😐 😐 😐||0.73|
|Ringer||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.98|
|The Secret Circle||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.06|
|Hart Of Dixie||not premiered|
|One Tree Hill||final season|
|Gossip Girl||not premiered|
|Nikita (F)||not premiered|
|Supernatural (F)||not premiered|
Both of CW’s rookie scripted shows that premiered last week (Ringer, The Secret Circle) got out of the blocks cleanly. There weren’t any immediate stumbles signaling imminent doom (like The Beautiful Life in 2009).
While plenty of CW scripted shows are yet to premiere, the early results for both rookies put them in the same range as last season’s Hellcats (canceled) and Nikita (renewed), so their future ratings will tell the tale. Stay tuned.
90210 returned even with last season’s premiere, which is good in broadcast television. While its numbers were low compared to the rest of the CW premieres, it’s too early to judge its prospects this season.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.