Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewCwShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]

This is the final week of Renew / Cancel Index posts for the season, and since the fate of all the current broadcast shows should be known by the coming weekend, so as is our custom, we play Oddsmakers (hat tip, PTI) with our final renewal chance guesses of the season.

Check back during the week, the status of each show will be updated as we learn the news.

Our final guesses for RENEWAL chances:

Status Tom Shaw The Cancel Bear
Hart of Dixie canceled    
The Messengers canceled 5/7 0% 0%
iZombie renewed 5/6 90% 100%
Reign renewed    
The 100 renewed    
Jane The Virgin renewed    
The Originals renewed    
The Vampire Diaries renewed    
Supernatural renewed    
Arrow renewed    
The Flash renewed    


The Cancel Bear will be shocked if he misses either of his remaining CW show predictions this season. You can take his % prediction for The Messengers as “will it ever air during the CW regular season again?”.

The bear missed one CW prediction last season (Beauty And The Beast cancellation). He pushed on Reign, Jane the Virgin and The 100 this season, which were renewed while “toss ups”. Next season he’ll be ready for any New Year’s renewal flurries by the CW (and CBS).

As you’ll see in all the Oddsmakers posts, the cancellation bear and Tom Shaw (Bubble Watch) are boringly similar in all but one show’s prediction (it’s an NBC show).

To those who claim “You never make an up or down call!”, please take all of my guesses above 50% as thumbs up, and below 50% as thumbs down with their distance from 50% being my level of confidence.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him.

If you want to interact with the bear Twitter is the place to do it, the bear’s no longer bothering with comments in his posts. Tweet him, or follow him below.



How have the Renew / Cancel Index predictions worked out in past seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

Posted by:Steve Baron

VP/Digital for TV station ownership group; Dad to young twins, runner, skier & spend a lot of times in airplanes.