Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewNbcShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]

This is the final week of Renew / Cancel Index posts for the season, and since the fate of all the current broadcast shows should be known by the coming weekend, so as is our custom, we play Oddsmakers (hat tip, PTI) with our final renewal chance guesses of the season.

Check back during the week, the status of each show will be updated as we learn the news.

Our final guesses of RENEWAL chances:

Status Tom Shaw The Cancel Bear
A to Z canceled
Bad Judge canceled
Constantine canceled
Allegiance canceled
The Slap mini-series
Parks & Recreation final season
Parenthood final season
American Odyssey TBD 0% 0%
One Big Happy canceled 5/8 0% 0%
Marry Me canceled 5/8 0% 10%
About A Boy canceled 5/8 15% 10%
State of Affairs canceled 5/8 0% 10%
The Mysteries of Laura renewed 5/8 20% 25%
AD: The Bible Continues TBD 65% 40%
The Night Shift renewed 5/8 75% 55%
Undateable renewed 5/8 85% 75%
Grimm renewed
Chicago Fire renewed
Law & Order: SVU renewed
Chicago PD renewed
The Blacklist renewed


Given that NBC picked up two new medical series last week, the Cancel Bear’s still marginally positive on his prediction for a renewal of The Night Shift. Whether it will return to the NBC regular season or summer is beyond the ability of the bear to accurately predict.

NBC (and CBS) is where the cancellation bear is bracing for prediction misses. With three NBC shows between 40-75% renewal chance, missing any of those wouldn’t shock the bear. He feels a little better about hitting all those marginal predictions on NBC than on CBS, but only a little better.

The bear missed two NBC predictions last season (Community renewal, Growing Up Fisher renewal).

As you’ll see in all the Oddsmakers posts, the cancellation bear and Tom Shaw (Bubble Watch) are boringly similar in all but one show’s prediction (AD: The Bible Continues).

To those who claim “You never make an up or down call!”, please take all of my guesses above 50% as thumbs up, and below 50% as thumbs down with their distance from 50% being my level of confidence.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him.

If you want to interact with the bear Twitter is the place to do it, the bear’s no longer bothering with comments in his posts. Tweet him, or follow him below.



How have the Renew / Cancel Index predictions worked out in past seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

Posted by:Steve Baron

VP/Digital for TV station ownership group; Dad to young twins, runner, skier & spend a lot of times in airplanes.