Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewFOXShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Bear_Attack
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2014-15 season in May, 2015. (includes results from December 29, 2014 – April 26, 2015):

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Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Mulaney* canceled 0.36
Weird Loners 😳 0.39
Glee (F) final season 0.41
Gracepoint* canceled 0.53
The Mindy Project* :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.56
Red Band Society* canceled 0.61
Backstrom 😳 0.64
Bones 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 0.68
The Following 😥 😥 0.73
Bob’s Burgers renewed 0.76
New Girl renewed 0.78
Sleepy Hollow* renewed 0.87
Brooklyn Nine-Nine renewed 0.98
The Last Man On Earth renewed 0.99
Family Guy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
The Simpsons renewed 1.16
Gotham renewed 1.24
Empire* renewed 2.91


The cancellation bear isn’t going out on a limb predicting Family Guy is certain to be renewed, but without anything else of note to mention, feeding the search engines is a good alternative. Some claim Family Guy has already been renewed (no official announcement by Fox the bear knows of though). Because of the production cycle for animated shows, it likely has episodes already produced that will air next season.

Next week: Final % renewal guesses from the bear and @TVTomShaw.

Past weeks:

Why is The Mindy Project certain to be renewed with such low ratings? Read this.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him.

If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post’s comments, is the place to do it. It’s more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. Just click here !function(d,s,id){var js,fjs=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],p=/^http:/.test(d.location)?’http’:’https’;if(!d.getElementById(id)){js=d.createElement(s);js.id=id;js.src=p+’://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js’;fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js,fjs);}}(document, ‘script’, ‘twitter-wjs’);

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

😳 certain to be cancelled by May, 2015
😥 😥 more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2015
😐 😐 😐 toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2015
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2015
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2015


The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

Posted by:Steve Baron

VP/Digital for TV station ownership group; Dad to young twins, runner, skier & spend a lot of times in airplanes.

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