Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewNbcShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results through December 11, 2011):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Chuck (F)||final season||0.50|
|The Playboy Club||canceled||0.67|
|Community||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.85|
|Grimm (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.92|
|Parks & Recreation||1.04|
|Law & Order: SVU||1.11|
|Up All Night||awaiting new timeslot ratings||1.14|
|Whitney||awaiting new timeslot ratings||1.17|
I looked a little more closely at more recent results (since 10/31) in with an eye towards potentially adjusting predictions as we near the mid-season mark, and as NBC’s scripted shows slide towards the cancellation bear, most are sliding faster than Community!
On the ratings catastrophe that is NBC prime time, Community ratings since 10/31 have moved up to 90% of NBC’s scripted show average (in fact, plenty was the rest of NBC’s show ratings sliding backwards, but same result). So while the push to get enough episodes for syndication gives the show a tailwind for another season, now its recent relative ratings do as well. I know I’ve used that reading bear graphic already this season, but when I saw the Chevy photo, I was forced to pair them!
No such luck for Harry’s Law, it’s still certain to be canceled. Its woeful ratings have been nearly identical in their relative position vs. the rest of NBC’s shows no matter what time period you look at.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.