Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewNbcShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network’s decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 10, 2013):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Do No Harm*||canceled||0.50|
|The New Normal||😳||0.77|
|Guys With Kids*||😳||0.81|
|Whitney||😐 😐 😐||0.90|
|Go On||😐 😐 😐||0.90|
|Community||😐 😐 😐||0.92|
|30 Rock*||final season complete||0.93|
|Parks & Recreation||1.14|
|Law & Order: SVU||1.21|
|The Office||final season||1.43|
|Up All Night||😳||pending|
The cancellation bear has been predicting that Grimm was certain to be renewed all season, why put it in the headline now? First, it hadn’t been in the headline all season. Second, the headline question is one that often comes up in our comments. Third, the bear’s still treading water on making any more definitive predictions on the three “toss up” sitcoms. (Community’s dive back to a 1.1 rating last week got the bear to tread water even longer).
Back to the headline question. If a show is certain to be renewed, why should fans care when it airs? (other than personal scheduling like “I party on Fridays”).
Typical responses to that question are along the lines of “It deserves better”. What does that even mean? The best a TV show can hope for (from a fan’s perspective) is renewal.
To pre-emptively answer those who’ll howl that Smash has not been canceled, shows that are moved to Saturday in the middle of their run are canceled. To argue otherwise makes you look silly. Or worse.
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the “old” Fall predictions in the table.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2013
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.