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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-October 13, 2013):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Welcome To The Family||😳 (canceled 10/18)||0.53|
|Sean Saves The World||😳||0.67|
|Ironside||😳 (canceled 10/18)||0.67|
|Parks & Recreation||😐 😐 😐||0.69|
|Parenthood||😐 😐 😐||0.80|
|Revolution||😐 😐 😐||0.91|
|The Michael J. Fox Show||😐 😐 😐||0.94|
|Law & Order: SVU||1.17|
The cancellation bear would like to thank NBC for not making any announcements about Ironside in the past week. That gave him time to put the show in this week’s headline.
Now, if they can hold off any announcements about Sean Saves The World for another week, the bear will be even more thankful.
The bear’s moved The Michael J Fox Show down to a “toss up”, as was Parks & Recreation. They might stay that way until the bear sees the other sitcoms still to come this season for NBC.
The bear’s biding his time making a call on Revolution, at current relative ratings levels it could go either way, particularly considering the relative success of NBC dramas vs. their total sitcom failure. Bubble Watch likes to make calls early (and has only one headline to create each week). The cancellation bear knows that this prediction race is a marathon, not a sprint, and he’s got 30 more weeks (and 150 headlines, god help the bear) to go!
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2014
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.