Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewNbcShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2014-15 season in May, 2015. (includes results from December 29, 2014 – February 12, 2015):

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Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
A to Z* canceled 0.52
Bad Judge* canceled 0.67
Marry Me 😳 0.69
Constantine (F) canceled 0.73
About A Boy 😳 0.76
Allegiance 😳 0.79
State of Affairs 😳 0.86
The Mysteries of Laura 😐 😐 😐 0.94
The Slap mini-series 0.97
Grimm (F) renewed 1.10
Parks & Recreation final season 1.16
Law & Order: SVU renewed 1.25
Parenthood* final season complete 1.30
Chicago P.D. renewed 1.34
Chicago Fire renewed 1.36
The Blacklist renewed 1.80


This is a special bear vacation week edition of the post incorporating ratings and news only through 2/12.

Allegiance ratings went fractional for episode 2, the show is certain to be canceled.

For the potentially confused, NBC publicly notes The Slap as a mini-series, not a limited series (which have a limited number of episodes/season, not seasons). It’s not coming back next season, whatever its ratings are. While the bear factors its ratings into the NBC scripted average, there’s no prediction coming for it.

The bear’s still got The Mysteries Of Laura predicted as a “toss up”. He’s also got ~10 more NBC prediction headlines to write this season.

Past weeks:

How can Constantine be canceled, random people on the internet/the producers/Warner Brothers/some guy holding a sign on the corner say it’s still very much alive? Read this.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post’s comments, is the place to do that. It’s more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. While this post will likely be viewed many tens of thousands of times, the commenting audience is a tiny fraction of that (a few hundred comments is typical). Tens of thousands of fans follow the bear on Twitter.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

😳 certain to be cancelled by May, 2015
😥 😥 more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2015
😐 😐 😐 toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2015
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2015
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2015


The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

Posted by:Steve Baron

VP/Digital for TV station ownership group; Dad to young twins, runner, skier & spend a lot of times in airplanes.

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