Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewNbcShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2014-15 season in May, 2015. (includes results from December 29, 2014 – March 22, 2015):

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Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
A to Z* canceled 0.52
The Slap mini-series 0.65
Bad Judge* canceled 0.67
Marry Me* 😳 0.67
About A Boy* 😳 0.72
Constantine* (F) canceled 0.72
Allegiance* canceled 0.73
State of Affairs* 😳 0.87
The Mysteries of Laura 😐 😐 😐 0.94
Grimm (F) renewed 1.01
The Night Shift 😐 😐 😐 1.14
Parks & Recreation* final season complete 1.17
Law & Order: SVU renewed 1.22
Chicago P.D. renewed 1.28
Parenthood* final season complete 1.30
One Big Happy 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 1.33
Chicago Fire renewed 1.39
The Blacklist renewed 1.54
Undateable 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 1.58


The premiere ratings for both Undateable and One Big Happy were plenty high enough to keep them initially clear of the cancellation bear. At this point, both are likely to be renewed. Will they stay there? Stay tuned.

Past weeks:

How can Constantine be canceled, random people on the internet/the producers/Warner Brothers/some guy holding a sign on the corner say it’s still very much alive? Read this.

Notes from Bubble Watch’s @TVTomShaw:

Undateable returned to a 1.9 rating following The Voice. On one hand, that’s worse than what Marry Me and About a Boy premiered to after The Voice; on the other hand, even if you subtract the usual 0.5 Voice boost, this is still clearly NBC’s best performing comedy. I expect it to be back, though NBC may just air two new comedies in the Fall after The Voice and leave this in reserve for next Spring.

One Big Happy premiered to a less impressive 1.6 rating. Again, if you assume the usual 0.5 boost from The Voice, then this is merely on the level of the dead-and-buried Thursday comedies. (Again, no post-Voice 9:30 comedy has yet survived, presumably because NBC assumes a 0.5ish boost, whether or not that’s true.) I can’t imagine this holding up well enough to get another run, though it only has 5 more weeks to drop, due to the short run.


Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post’s comments, is the place to do that. It’s more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. While this post will likely be viewed many tens of thousands of times, the commenting audience is a tiny fraction of that (a few hundred comments is typical). Tens of thousands of fans follow the bear on Twitter.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

😳 certain to be cancelled by May, 2015
😥 😥 more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2015
😐 😐 😐 toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2015
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2015
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2015


The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

Posted by:TV By The Numbers

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