NBC’s renew/cancel standings for week 31 of the 2015-16 season tracks a familiar pattern for one of the network’s first-year dramas, one that’s not likely to end well for the show.
NBC scripted average through April 24: 1.2
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Truth Be Told (F) (O)||Canceled||0.59||0.43|
|Heroes Reborn (O)||Canceled||1.21||0.88|
|You, Me and the Apocalypse||😥||0.69||0.56|
|Telenovela (O)||😦 😦||0.99||0.76|
|Undateable (F)||😦 😦||0.77||0.57|
|Heartbeat (O)||😦 😦||1.07||0.89|
|Game of Silence||😦 😦||0.97||0.81|
|The Mysteries of Laura||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.12||0.87|
|The Carmichael Show (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.08||0.90|
|Crowded (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.03||0.86|
|Grimm (F) (O)||Renewed||0.91||0.76|
|Shades of Blue (O)||Renewed||1.17||0.94|
|Chicago PD (O)||Renewed||1.61||1.34|
|Law & Order: SVU (O)||Renewed||1.69||1.41|
|Chicago Med (O)||Renewed||1.74||1.45|
|Chicago Fire (O)||Renewed||1.78||1.48|
“Game of Silence” has fallen into the same pattern as another NBC spring drama, “Heartbeat”: A decent premiere following an episode of “The Voice” followed by an immediate and substantial drop when it moves to its regular time period.
And, like “Heartbeat,” it’s on its way to the same one-and-done fate. In the span of just 10 days, the show retreated from a 1.4 in adults 18-49 for its post-“Voice” preview to half that number (0.7) for its second regular episode.
That, as they say in the TV business, is not good.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.