Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewNbcShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2-15, 2012):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|The Playboy Club||canceled||0.67*|
|Chuck (F)||final season||0.54|
|Parks & Recreation||1.14|
|Law & Order: SVU||1.20|
|Up All Night||1.20|
|Are You There, Chelsea?||🙂🙂🙂🙂||1.37|
After a weak start on a Sunday, The Firm ratings fell even further in its Thursday regular time slot premiere. Its 1.0 adults 18-49 rating marks it as certain to be canceled, even on the train wreck that is NBC primetime.
But because Sony made NBC a super cheap deal for all 22 episodes of The Firm, and NBC isn’t likely to have good (if any) alternatives for its Thursday time slot, it may stay on the schedule this season for quite some time. What’s certain is that by the end of this season it will be canceled and not return to NBC (it’s future outside the US isn’t something I’m concerned with). No matter how long it takes, the cancellation bear will be waiting.
To many critics chagrin, Are You There, Chelsea? ratings began reasonably well (for NBC), and Whitney ratings didn’t crash immediately after its time slot move. Who knows what the future may hold, but right now their ratings give them both a positive future.
Not so for Harry’s Law, it returned on Wednesday to notch another woeful 1.2 adults 18-49 rating on its way to certain cancellation at the end of this season.
The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did NBC’s shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule, and are grouped at the top of the table.
** shows that have not yet aired new episodes in 2012 have their Fall 2011 predictions listed instead.
- :oops: – certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
- 😐😐 :| – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- 🙂🙂🙂 :) – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- :mrgreen: – certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.