Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewNbcShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network’s decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-December 9, 2012):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|30 Rock||final season||0.68|
|Up All Night||😥 😥||0.71|
|Guys With Kids||😥 😥||0.77|
|Parks & Recreation||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.91|
|Law & Order: SVU||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.95|
|Chicago Fire||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.96|
|The New Normal||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.00|
|The Office||final season||1.16|
The New Normal has become one of the anti-fan focal points of the current season among our commenters. Certainly some is driven by the content of the show, and some is driven by the Retentionista tendencies of many of our commenters.
The content of the show is irrelevant to the Cancellation Bear, and he views the retentionistas as the equivalent of TV prediction flat earthers.
Through 11 weeks, The New Normal ratings average was almost exactly that of all NBC scripted shows, and it has not fallen more than one tenth below the NBC scripted show average for any given week. As much as the retentionistas will rage, networks do not cancel new shows with average ratings.
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2013
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.