The CW scripted average through Nov. 15: 0.63
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Reign (F)||😐 😐 😐||0.3||0.48|
|Jane the Virgin||😐 😐 😐||0.38||0.60|
|iZombie||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.58||0.92|
|The Vampire Diaries||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.58||0.92|
|Supernatural||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.73||1.16|
|The Originals||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||0.42||0.67|
|Arrow||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||0.98||1.56|
|The Flash||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1.43||2.27|
It’s just one week, but “Reign” may not be headed for the guillotine just yet.
The show has stubbornly hovered around a 0.3 rating thus far, and ticked up to 0.4 last week. Even by CW standards, and even accounting for the lower-than-usual renewal threshold for Friday shows, those aren’t good numbers.
And yet: with “Crazy Ex-Girlfriend” still below a 0.3 and only a couple other new series on the horizon, “Reign” could sneak a fourth season and get up to the 75-80 episode mark. (It would also help maintain the magical Warner Bros.-CBS equilibrium at the network.)
Again, it’s just one week. But with very little movement on the rest of The CW, that’s enough to move “Reign” into tossup territory for now.
Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.