Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2010-11 season in May, 2011. (includes results through October 10, 2010):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|The Whole Truth||😳||0.45|
|Detroit 1-8-7||😥 😥||0.69|
|Better With You||😐 😐 😐||0.79|
|The Middle||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.87|
|Castle||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.91|
|Brothers & Sisters||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.97|
|No Ordinary Family||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.99|
Fans of ABC’s new sitcom Better With You can look forward to at least 13 episodes of the show, and perhaps a “back 9” order for a full 22 episodes this season. Although the show is well below ABC’s average ratings for scripted shows, and I project renewal for next season no better than a toss up, it’s doing far better relative to the rest of ABC’s ratings (which are down vs. last season), than last season’s Hank, which was pulled out of its timeslot after only five episodes.
Detroit 1-8-7 also looks likely to be cancelled by the end of this season, but ABC’s announcement that it will hold rookie Body of Proof until mid-season all but guarantees that they will let the rest of their current ratings laggards run through their 13 episodes ordered instead of giving them the My Generation treatment.
No Ordinary Family ratings dipped in its second week, but it still is comfortably near the middle of ABC’s ratings.
It’s important to note that the Index (and prediction) for each show can change, particularly during the first several weeks of the season, both positively and negatively.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2011
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2011
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2011
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2011
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2011
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? While the methods used have changed slightly from past seasons check out how the Renew / Cancel Index would have predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2009-10 broadcast television season.