Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2010-11 season in May, 2011. (includes results through December 19, 2010):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|CSI:NY (F)||😐 😐 😐||0.58|
|Blue Bloods (F)||😐 😐 😐||0.59|
|The Defenders||😥 😥||0.73|
|The Good Wife||😐 😐 😐||0.77|
|CSI: Miami||😐 😐 😐||0.84|
|The Mentalist||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.98|
|Rules of Engagement||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.00|
|Hawaii Five-0||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.02|
|$#*! My Dad Says||😐 😐 😐||1.02|
|NCIS: Los Angeles||1.12|
|How I Met Your Mother||1.15|
|Mike & Molly||1.20|
|Big Bang Theory||1.40|
|Two And A Half Men||already renewed||1.46|
Even though by the competition’s standards no CBS scripted shows do terribly, this is likely the last Christmas for at least three more of them. Which ones better watch out?
CBS was alone among the English broadcasters to air a fairly full slate of original scripted programs last week, but even so, the table isn’t much changed from last week.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2011
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2011
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2011
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2011
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2011
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? While the methods used have changed slightly from past seasons check out how the Renew / Cancel Index would have predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2009-10 broadcast television season.