Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2010-11 season in May, 2011. (includes results through October 31, 2010):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|The Good Guys (F)||😳||0.27|
|Lie To Me||😐 😐 😐||0.70|
|Fringe||😐 😐 😐||0.75|
|Bones||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.98|
|Raising Hope||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.02|
|American Dad||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.02|
|The Cleveland Show||already renewed||1.09|
Any mention of either Fringe or Lie To Me ratings or prospects brings out legions of their fans filling their bingo cards with excuses why each show shouldn’t be cancelled. Although both shows’ ratings are woeful, they were almost as bad last season and both were renewed.
Why would Fox keep either show around for next season? Have they simply given up trying to get better ratings? Has Fox’s development process gone so totally off the tracks that they don’t think they can do better? We’ll have to wait and see.
Running Wilde and The Good Guys are both certain to be cancelled and not return next season. How many more episodes either will air this season is anybody’s guess.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2011
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2011
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2011
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2011
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2011
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? While the methods used have changed slightly from past seasons check out how the Renew / Cancel Index would have predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2009-10 broadcast television season.