Friday of premiere week has not just series and season premieres, but several veteran shows moving into the night. Tonight we have the series premieres of newcomer Blue Bloods, and the season premieres of veterans Medium, Smallville, Supernatural (new night), CSI: NY (new night), The Good Guys (new night for originals).

Note: Human Target airs a repeat episode tonight. Its season premiere is October 1. You can check out other premiere dates here.

How will they do in the ratings?

Guesses for veteran shows to debut up a bit from their May, 2010 ratings level, but not  close to their Fall, 2009 premiere ratings have been almost uniformly close. I’m sticking with that strategy, plus an extra haircut for the shows moving to Friday. With of course a wild guess for the series premiere of Blue Bloods.

My premiere ratings guesses (adults 18-49 ratings):

  • Medium: 1.9
  • Smallville: 0.9
  • CSI:NY: 2.4
  • The Good Guys: 1.3
  • Supernatural: 1.1
  • Blue Bloods: 2.0
  • Outlaw: 1.7 (timeslot premiere)

Premiere Friday 2009 (September 25, 2009) (note not all shows were premires)

Time Net Show 18-49 Rating/Share Viewers (Millons)
8:00 CBS Ghost Whiperer (season premiere) 2.2/8 8.58
ABC FlashForward (R) 1.5/5 4.55
NBC Law & Order (season premiere) 1.3/5 6.29
FOX Brothers (series premiere) 1.0/4 2.82
CW Smallville (season premiere) 1.0/4 2.50
9:00 CBS Medium (season premiere) 2.0/7 8.78
NBC Dateline NBC 1.5/5 5.82
ABC Modern Family (R) 1.5/5 4.28
FOX Dollhouse (season premiere) 1.0/3 2.56
CW America’s Next Top Model (R) 0.5/2 1.17
9:30 ABC Cougar Town (R) 1.5/5 4.18
10:00 ABC 20/20 2.3/8 7.11
CBS Numb3rs (season premiere) 1.8/6 7.92
NBC The Jay Leno Show 1.5/5 5.68

Premiere Friday 2010 schedule:

Time Net Show 18-49 Rating/Sh Viewers (Millions)
8:00 FOX Human Target (repeat)
ABC Modern Family (repeat)
CBS Medium (Season Premiere)
NBC Dateline NBC (Season Premiere?)
CW Smallville (Season Premiere)
8:30 ABC Better With You (repeat)
9:00 NBC Dateline NBC (Season Premiere?)
ABC The Whole Truth (repeat)
CBS CSI:NY (Season Premiere)
FOX The Good Guys (Season Premiere)
CW Supernatural (Season Premiere)
10:00 CBS Blue Bloods (Series Premiere)
NBC Outlaw (new timeslot)
ABC 20/20

What are your guesses?

Posted by:TV By The Numbers

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