Masked Scheduler's Ratings Smackdown

First off, this morning a Twitter question from FC: "I like 'The Resident' -- what do you think the chances are for renewal?"
I do too. I think its chances are better than 50/50 for a renewal in spite of the mediocre ratings in the Monday 9 p.m. time period. The first point that I would generally make is that the network's sister studio owns the show, but with the transformations going on over at 21st Century Fox, there's a good chance that won't be the case by next fall. Having said that, in May, when the schedule is being set, the heads of the network will also still be running the studio. Weird times.
"The Resident" is one of the broader shows FOX has put on in recent years, and along with "9-1-1," which is a legit success in these times, the network seems to finally be accepting the idea that they need to cast the widest net possible. If that's the direction they choose to continue to go in, it would be smart to stay with the show.
A successful medical show can go on for years, since they tend to be more ensemble dramas and it's easy to add to and subtract from the cast. You never run out of medical stories. The two biggest drama successes on the networks this year both involve medicine and saving lives. Viewers like this stuff.
I hear FOX is pairing up "The Resident" and "9-1-1" for two weeks, so more exposure for the show might help.
Bottom line: prognosis is good.
TC asks a really interesting question: "Superhero movies have been bringing in massive quantities of dollars for the past two decades, yet most superhero shows bring in low-to-moderate ratings. Yes, they're the highest-rated shows on The CW, but that still usually equates to the lowest-rated network show on a given night. Why do you think people pay to watch superheroes in theaters but don't watch the same genre at home?"
Good question. First, let's compare apples to apples. If a superhero movie grosses $100 million in its opening weekend with, let's say an average ticket price $12, that means 8.3 million saw the movie. Assuming there is some repeat viewing, which is common in this genre, we're looking at 7.5 million sets of eyeballs. "The Flash" gets around 2.4 million in live + same-day and a bit over 4 million over the course of the week.
Theatricals get more eyeballs, but when you use the same metric, the difference is not astronomical. I would be happy for those who have the data to comment on my guesses.
Having said all this, theatricals can clearly deliver on the special effects and the also offer us movie stars in their best Halloween costumes. They are also more of an event than a weekly series and can tell bigger stories. They are less reliant on character and more on visuals.
Fans of the superhero genre watch the superhero shows on television. The larger audience in theaters come for the stars and the spectacle.
Questions can be sent to and the Twitter is @maskedscheduler.

Broadcast primetime live + same-day ratings for Monday, Feb. 12, 2018

The numbers for Monday:

Time Show Adults 18-49 rating/share
Viewers (millions)
8 p.m. Winter Olympics (NBC) (8-11 p.m.) 5.2/19 20.46
The Bachelor (ABC) (8-10 p.m.) 1.5/5 5.88
Big Brother: Celebrity Edition (CBS) 1.3/5 5.14
Legends of Tomorrow (The CW) 0.5/2 1.50
Lucifer (FOX) – R 0.4/2 1.88
9 p.m. The Big Bang Theory (CBS) – R 0.7/3 4.08
The Resident (FOX) – R 0.4/2 1.78
Whose Line Is It Anyway? (The CW) – R 0.2/1 0.83
9:30 p.m. Man with a Plan (CBS) – R 0.6/2 3.26
Whose Line Is It Anyway? (The CW) – R 0.2/1 0.82
10 p.m. The Good Doctor (ABC) – R 0.7/3 4.75
SWAT (CBS) – R 0.6/2 3.01


“Legends of Tomorrow” returned to The CW Monday night with ratings on par with its season average.

The show’s 0.5 rating among adults 18-49 was down 0.1 from its last episode but just a few hundredths off its season rating. It was also in line with “Supergirl’s” performance in the demo on Mondays.

“The Bachelor” scored a 1.5 and was the night’s top non-Olympic program, although it was down three tenths vs. last week. “Big Brother: Celebrity Edition” drew a 1.3 for CBS, up from 1.2 on Sunday.

The Winter Olympics on NBC and NBC Sports Network had a combined metered-market household rating of 14.5, slightly ahead of four years ago. NBC’s portion currently sits at 20.46 million viewers and 5.2 in adults 18-49 and should adjust up.

Network averages:

Adults 18-49 rating/share 5.2/19 1.3/5 0.9/3 0.4/2 0.4/2
Total Viewers (millions) 20.46 5.51 3.94 1.83 1.16



Rating: Estimated percentage of the universe of TV households (or other specified group) tuned to a program in the average minute. Ratings are expressed as a percent.
Fast Affiliate Ratings: These first national ratings are available at approximately 11 a.m. ET the day after telecast. The figures may include stations that did not air the entire network feed, as well as local news breaks or cutaways for local coverage or other programming. Fast Affiliate ratings are not as useful for live programs and are likely to differ significantly from the final results, because the data reflect normal broadcast feed patterns. 
Share (of Audience): 
The percent of households (or persons) using television who are tuned to a specific program, station or network in a specific area at a specific time. 
Time Shifted Viewing:
 Program ratings for national sources are produced in three streams of data – Live, Live +Same-Day and Live +7 Day. Time-shifted figures account for incremental viewing that takes place with DVRs. Live+SD includes viewing during the same broadcast day as the original telecast, with a cut-off of 3 a.m. local time when meters transmit daily viewing to Nielsen for processing. Live +7 ratings include  viewing that takes place during the 7 days following a telecast.

Source: The Nielsen Company.

Posted by:Rick Porter

Rick Porter has been covering TV since the days when networks sent screeners on VHS, one of which was a teaser for the first season of "American Idol." He's left-handed, makes a very solid grilled cheese and has been editor of TV by the Numbers since October 2015. He lives in Austin.

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