Masked Scheduler's Ratings Smackdown

It's a "Good Doctor" festival today -- two questions form the Masked Mailbox. The first one is from JF, who writes:
"I am really surprised 'The Good Doctor' is such a hit. We watched the first two episodes and couldn't watch anymore because we were so creeped out by Freddie Highmore. He was so creepy in 'Bates Motel' that we couldn't watch the final season because his character was just so disturbing, and he has the same mannerisms in this show -- enough that we won't watch it. In all other respects, I am sure that the show is good, but that vacant look and weird semi-smile that he has on camera really put us off. I am surprised that others don't find the same thing."
Well, maybe he's doing a really good job if he's creeping you out. I have to assume that the producers of "The Good Doctor" saw something in his character in "Bates Motel" to inspire them to cast him in the show. Clearly enough people don't buy into the creepiness, and it's the biggest new dramatic hit of the season.
You do raise an interesting issue, which is that when an actor is too connected to his or her character, it is often difficult to play a different type in your next endeavor. I think Kiefer Sutherland had that issue when he came back in the short-lived "Touch" after the first run of "24" ended. In "Designated Survivor," he’s evolving into Jack Bauer as president. The teaser for the post-Thanksgiving episode looks like he's gone full Jack.
***
Here's another "Good Doctor" question from the always curious KT: "I read something you might be interested to know. According to an article on IndieWire, Freddie Highmore has a stipulation in his contract that limits the number of episodes per season to 18. Do you think this will negatively impact ABC's ability to maximize the show's success?"
As I said this week, when you have a hit you want to try to make as many original episodes as possible early in its run. "Empire" is also limited to 18 episodes. I gather the producers claim that they can't write enough songs to do more than 18 a season. I think the fans of the show could tolerate four episodes without music, or the show could just use "Drip Drop" whenever it needs a musical break.
I won’t say it's fatal to the show, but I honestly don't think it results in better episodes by doing less than 22. I will always respect Julianna Margulies, who used her Emmy win to sort of slam actors who don't feel they can deliver 22 episodes a season.
I know he's the star but there is an ensemble on "The Good Doctor," and the quickest way to get Highmore to do 22 is to say they will do four episodes without him starting in Season 2. See what happens.
Keep those questions coming to masked.scheduler@gmail.com or on Twitter @maskedscheduler.

Broadcast primetime live + same-day ratings for Monday, Nov. 2, 2017

Note: The ABC affiliate in Atlanta and CBS affiliate in Seattle pre-empted their regular schedules for “Monday Night Football.” Ratings for those networks may be subject to greater adjustments than usual.

The numbers for Monday:

Time Show Adults 18-49 rating/share
Viewers (millions)
8 p.m. The Voice (NBC) (8-10 p.m.) 1.7/6 9.09
Dancing With the Stars (ABC) (8-10 p.m.) 1.5/5 10.35
Kevin Can Wait (CBS) 1.4/5 6.74
Lucifer (FOX) 0.9/3 3.28
Supergirl (The CW) 0.5/2 1.91
8:30 p.m. Man with a Plan (CBS) 1.2/4 5.96
9 p.m. Superior Donuts (CBS) 1.0/4 5.18
The Gifted (FOX) 0.9/3 2.92
Valor (The CW) 0.2/1 1.04
9:30 p.m. 9JKL (CBS) 0.8/3 4.41
10 p.m. The Good Doctor (ABC) 1.9/7 10.34
Scorpion (CBS) 0.9/3 5.04
The Brave (NBC) 0.9/3 4.72

 

“The Voice” opened its final rounds to less-than-impressive ratings Monday night. The show hit a series low for a regular Monday episode with a 1.7 rating in adults 18-49. That’s 0.1 below the previous Monday floor.

“The Brave” (0.9) was also down a tenth of a point vs. last week for NBC.

FOX’s “Lucifer” fell a tenth to 0.9, while “The Gifted” (0.9) is even with last week’s early numbers (it adjusted up in the finals). “Supergirl” and “Valor” held steady for The CW.

Ratings for ABC and CBS are inflated by “Monday Night Football” pre-emptions. “Dancing With the Stars” (1.5) and “The Good Doctor” (1.9) are currently even with last week’s fast nationals (which also featured “MNF” inflations) but will probably come down some in the finals.

“Kevin Can Wait” (currently 1.4) and “Man with a Plan” (1.2, pending updates) are the most likely candidates on CBS to adjust down in the finals.

Network averages:

ABC NBC CBS FOX CW
Adults 18-49 rating/share 1.6/6 1.5/5 1.0/4 0.9/3 0.4/2
Total Viewers (millions) 10.35 7.63 5.40 3.10 1.47

 

Late-night metered market ratings (adults 18-49, households):

11:35 p.m.

“Jimmy Kimmel Live” – R: 0.6/4, 2.0/5

“The Late Show with Stephen Colbert”: 0.5/3, 2.8/7

“The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon”: 0.5/3, 1.9/5

12:35 a.m.

“Nightline”: 0.4/3, 1.2/4

“The Late Late Show with James Corden”: 0.3/3, 1.2/4

“Late Night with Seth Meyers”: 0.3/3, 1.1/4

Definitions:
Rating: Estimated percentage of the universe of TV households (or other specified group) tuned to a program in the average minute. Ratings are expressed as a percent.
Fast Affiliate Ratings: These first national ratings are available at approximately 11 a.m. ET the day after telecast. The figures may include stations that did not air the entire network feed, as well as local news breaks or cutaways for local coverage or other programming. Fast Affiliate ratings are not as useful for live programs and are likely to differ significantly from the final results, because the data reflect normal broadcast feed patterns. 
Share (of Audience): 
The percent of households (or persons) using television who are tuned to a specific program, station or network in a specific area at a specific time. 
Time Shifted Viewing:
 Program ratings for national sources are produced in three streams of data – Live, Live +Same-Day and Live +7 Day. Time-shifted figures account for incremental viewing that takes place with DVRs. Live+SD includes viewing during the same broadcast day as the original telecast, with a cut-off of 3 a.m. local time when meters transmit daily viewing to Nielsen for processing. Live +7 ratings include  viewing that takes place during the 7 days following a telecast.

Source: The Nielsen Company.

Posted by:Rick Porter

Rick Porter has been covering TV since the days when networks sent screeners on VHS, one of which was a teaser for the first season of "American Idol." He's left-handed, makes a very solid grilled cheese and has been editor of TV by the Numbers since October 2015. He lives in Austin.

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