Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network’s decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. 

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Hostages* canceled 0.46
Intelligence* canceled 0.55
The Good Wife renewed 0.65
Hawaii Five-0 (F) renewed 0.66
The Mentalist renewed 0.66
Blue Bloods (F) renewed 0.66
Bad Teacher canceled 0.73
We Are Men* canceled 0.74
Elementary renewed 0.78
The Crazy Ones* canceled 0.80
CSI renewed 0.85
Person Of Interest renewed 0.86
Friends With Better Lives canceled 0.88
Mom* renewed 0.92
Mike & Molly renewed 0.97
Two And A Half Men renewed 1.05
NCIS: Los Angeles renewed 1.06
Criminal Minds renewed 1.09
2 Broke Girls renewed 1.13
The Millers renewed 1.18
NCIS renewed 1.19
How I Met Your Mother* final season complete 1.55
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.26

The cancellation bear went 20-1* on his CBS predictions for the 2013-14 season. (vs. 20-0-1 in 2012-13 and 20-2 in 2011-12) missing only his cancellation prediction for The Mentalist which was shocking, not because of its ratings, but because the bear didn’t think CBS had room on its schedule for the show.

The bear’s best guess was that as The Mentalist was faced with cancellation (and WB found no other takers as they shopped it around) WB made CBS a cheap deal to get a short final season and add to their syndication money pile. While that’s always possible for any veteran show, the bear didn’t think CBS had the schedule room to fit the show. When CBS releases their 2014-15 schedule Wednesday, we’ll see how they shoehorn it in.

*The bear didn’t predict for Bad Teacher. He considered it a summer show, but CBS didn’t, and canceled it last week anyway.

With that the cancellation bear bids the 2013-14 season adieu and begins his summer hibernation. The bear and his Renew/Cancel Index posts will return in September. Happy Summer!

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2014.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post’s comments, is now the best place to do that. It’s more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. While this post will likely be viewed over 40,000 times, the comments audience is a tiny fraction of that (a few hundred comments is typical).  24,000 follow the bear on Twitter.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.


😳 certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
😥 😥 more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
😐 😐 😐 toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Predictions Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

Posted by:TV By The Numbers

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