Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network’s decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014.

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Raising Hope* (F) canceled 0.43
Enlisted* (F) canceled 0.48
Rake* (some F) canceled 0.66
Glee renewed 0.72
The Mindy Project renewed 0.83
Surviving Jack canceled 0.83
Dads* canceled 0.83
Bob’s Burgers renewed 0.92
Brooklyn Nine-Nine* renewed 0.96
New Girl renewed 1.03
American Dad final season on Fox 1.12
Bones (some F) renewed 1.12
The Following* renewed 1.14
Almost Human* canceled 1.16
Sleepy Hollow* renewed 1.27
The Simpsons renewed 1.48
Family Guy renewed 1.68

The cancellation bear went 15-1 on his Fox predictions for the 2013-14 season. (vs. 14-0 in 2012-13 and 18-0-1 in 2011-12) missing only his cancellation prediction for The Mindy Project.

The Mindy Project was moved to “likely cancellation” just days before Fox renewed it, when it was still at relative ratings levels that would typically indicate cancellation. In hindsight, perhaps Fox’s switch to a “no pilot season” acquisition schedule meant that they needed to secure a bit more of this season’s shows than normal for next Fall. Otherwise, your guess is as good as the bear’s.

With that the cancellation bear bids the 2013-14 season adieu and begins his summer hibernation. The bear and his Renew/Cancel Index posts will return in September. Happy Summer!

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear.  If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post’s comments, is now the best place to do that. It’s more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. While this post will likely be viewed over 40,000 times, the comments audience is a tiny fraction of that (a few hundred comments is typical).  24,000 follow the bear on Twitter.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.


😳 certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
😥 😥 more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
😐 😐 😐 toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Predictions Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

Posted by:TV By The Numbers

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