Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
tossed bears

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network’s decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- April 28, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Don’t Trust the B in Apt 23* canceled 0.50
Happy Endings (some F) 😳 0.50
Red Widow 😳 0.56
Last Resort* canceled 0.57
Zero Hour* canceled 0.58
Private Practice* canceled 0.63
Malibu Country* (F) 😐 😐 😐 0.65
666 Park Avenue* canceled 0.68
Body Of Proof 😐 😐 😐 0.72
Last Man Standing* (F) 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 0.74
The Neighbors* 😐 😐 😐 0.87
Revenge 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 0.94
Nashville 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 0.94
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
Castle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.09
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
How To Live With Your Parents 😐 😐 😐 1.16
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.23
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.41
Grey’s Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.52
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.07

In what is an upgrade for Body Of Proof  and a downgrade for How To Live With Your Parents (For the Rest Of Your Life) the cancellation bear now predicts both as “toss ups” to be renewed or canceled.

Whatever mojo Body Of Proof had last season that saved it when it averaged just 66% of ABC’s scripted show average ratings could again save it this season, particularly since it’s now averaging over 70% of this spring’s ABC scripted show ratings average (a level for which for most shows would mean cancellation).

Sandwiched by repeats, How To Live With Your Parents ratings dove last week to just a 1.5 rating. It’ll be surrounded by new episodes this Wednesday in what is likely a make or break outing. If it doesn’t rebound, expect a negative prediction on May 7.

Final up or down (no toss ups!) guesses next Tuesday, May 7!

Although it’s not that easy to see, the photo is of teddy bears tossed onto a hockey rink in some sort of promotional event.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, the “old” Fall predictions will carry over.

Want to know what the ABC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.


  • 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: – certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

Posted by:TV By The Numbers

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