Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2010-11 season in May, 2011. (includes results from January 3 – April 24, 2011):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|The Whole Truth||cancelled|
|No Ordinary Family||😳||0.62|
|Off The Map||😳||0.70|
|Better With You||😥 😥||0.80|
|Brothers & Sisters||😐 😐 😐||0.81|
|Happy Endings||😐 😐 😐||0.90|
|Mr. Sunshine||😐 😐 😐||0.92|
|Body Of Proof||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.04|
ABC’s going to renew a freshman drama, and it won’t be just to save face, as Body of Proof ratings have held up just fine, particularly for a 10pm show, and it’s likely to be renewed.
Happy Endings ratings continue to fall, hitting a 1.8 and a 1.6 for adults 18-49 last week in the Wednesday 10pm hour. It will hold in the “toss up” range for only another week, unless there’s a miracle rebound, before slipping into the “likely to be cancelled” range.
The only chance that Better With You has for renewal is an expanded ABC comedy block, plus terrible ABC comedy pilots (which is anybody’s guess).
Brothers & Sisters is holding at the bottom edge of the of the “toss up” range. ABC’s new Mr. Sunshine still looks like a toss up for renewal. V is just outside the “toss up” range for renewal.
Off the Map, Detroit 1-8-7 and No Ordinary Family are certain to be cancelled at the end of the season.
I’d expect the apocalypse before I’d expect Desperate Housewives to not be renewed.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2011
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2011
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2011
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2011
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2011
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? While the methods used have changed slightly from past seasons check out how the Renew / Cancel Index would have predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2009-10 broadcast television season.