Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewABCShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’] polar-bear-imgisland-free-animals-tropical-188639

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2014-15 season in May, 2015. (includes results from December 29, 2014 – February 1, 2015):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Manhattan Love Story* canceled 0.48
Selfie* canceled 0.53
Revenge 😥 😥 0.54
Resurrection* 😳 0.59
Forever 😳 0.65
Cristela (F) 😥 😥 0.70
Galavant* 😳 0.81
Castle  🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 0.86
Last Man Standing (F) 😐 😐 😐 0.86
Agent Carter 😥 😥 0.96
black-ish 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 1.23
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.38
The Goldbergs :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.47
Grey’s Anatomy  :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.72
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.90
How To Get Away With Murder :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.90
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.21
Nashville :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

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As the cancellation bear has noted many, many, many times, the mind tricks that the network PR Jedi are able to play with the term “limited series” befuddle many fans. It behooves the PR Jedi to keep up the confusion, because when a limited series fails, they can spin its single season as the plan all along. For those who are still confused, a limited series is one that has a limited number of episodes per season (fewer than the “full” 22 episode season), NOT a limited number of seasons. If a limited series does well, it will be renewed, as happened with Under The Dome, The Following and Sleepy Hollow, etc. If it does badly, it will be canceled and not return, like what happened with Gracepoint, The Assets, Killer Women, certainly Galavant, etc. Agent Carter ratings started reasonably well, but by episode three its ratings had dropped into the range that indicates that it’s likely to be canceled.

Previous weeks:

How is Nashville certain to be renewed with its ratings? Read this.

Here are some notes from Bubble Watch’s Tom Shaw:

Nothing new from Tom this week.


Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post’s comments, is the place to do that. It’s more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. While this post will likely be viewed many tens of thousands of times, the commenting audience is a tiny fraction of that (a few hundred comments is typical). Tens of thousands of fans follow the bear on Twitter.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule. Notes:

😳 certain to be cancelled by May, 2015
😥 😥 more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2015
😐 😐 😐 toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2015
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2015
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2015


The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are). (F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes. How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

Posted by:TV By The Numbers

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