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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2014-15 season in May, 2015. (includes results from December 29, 2014 – February 8, 2015):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Manhattan Love Story*||canceled||0.48|
|Cristela (F)||😥 😥||0.64|
|Last Man Standing (F)||😐 😐 😐||0.80|
|Castle||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.81|
|Agent Carter||😥 😥||0.87|
|Fresh Off The Boat||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.39|
|How To Get Away With Murder||1.68|
|Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|Once Upon A Time|
The ratings for Fresh Off The Boat’s double episode premiere sandwiching Modern Family last week were fine, but no longer particularly relevant after they confirmed it wasn’t DOA.
It’s moving to the much less friendly Tuesday 8pm time slot beginning tonight. It’ll have two Tuesdays to get settled before The Voice returns. The bear awaits the results. Hungrily.
How is Nashville certain to be renewed with such low ratings? Read this.
Notes from Bubble Watch’s @TVTomShaw:
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Fresh off the Boat premiered well – on Wednesday. The real question is how it holds up against Tuesday’s competition, especially when space issues on Wednesday mean a Goldbergs-ian permanent move to the Wednesday big show for Season Two is rather unlikely.
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post’s comments, is the place to do that. It’s more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. While this post will likely be viewed many tens of thousands of times, the commenting audience is a tiny fraction of that (a few hundred comments is typical). Tens of thousands of fans follow the bear on Twitter.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2015|
|😥 😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2015|
|😐 😐 😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2015|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2015|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2015|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.