ABC scripted average through Feb. 7: 1.52

ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 20 of the 2015-16 season, with two new entrants in the sure-bet category:

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Wicked City (O) Canceled 0.67 0.4
Blood & Oil (O) Canceled 0.96 0.59
Galavant (O) 😥 0.64 0.42
Agent Carter (O) 😦 😦 0.87 0.57
Nashville (O) 😦 😦 1.03 0.68
Castle (O) 😦 😦 1.13 0.74
The Muppets (O) 😦 😦 1.47 0.97
American Crime (O) 😐 😐 😐 1.0 0.66
Dr. Ken (F) (O) 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 1.19 0.78
Last Man Standing (F) 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 1.25 0.82
Quantico (O) 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 1.45 0.95
Fresh Off the Boat 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 1.5 0.99
Once Upon a Time (O) 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 1.57 1.03
Agents of SHIELD (O) 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 1.43 0.94
Black-ish (O) 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 1.87 1.23
The Middle 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 2.01 1.32
How to Get Away with Murder (O) 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 2.12 1.39
The Goldbergs 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 2.12 1.39
Grey’s Anatomy (O) 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 2.38 1.57
Scandal (O) 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 2.52 1.66
Modern Family 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 2.75 1.81

 

ABC’s Wednesday comedy block should return intact next season — or if not, then it’s because the network is trying comedies somewhere else on the schedule. “The Middle” and “Black-ish” will be back.

The two shows get an upgrade from likely renewal to lock this week, as there’s no compelling reason to keep them from the sure-bet column. Wednesdays (before 10 p.m., at least) have been pretty solid all season. They’re about as sure a bet as ABC gets outside of the TGIT silo.

ABC will have enough of a rebuild job to do on other nights next season. There’s no need to try to fix one that is working.

Note: The 18-49 ratings and index numbers for “The Muppets” and “Fresh Off the Boat” were misstated in an earlier version of this post. The correct numbers are above.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
😥 sure bet to be canceled by May 2016
😦 😦 likely to be canceled by May 2016
😐 😐 😐 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 likely to be renewed by May 2016
😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 sure bet to be renewed by May 2016


The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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