ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 24 of the 2015-16 season: A bunch of shows were renewed, and a new one likely won’t be joining them.
ABC scripted average through March 6: 1.48
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Wicked City (O)||Canceled||0.67||0.4|
|Blood & Oil (O)||Canceled||0.96||0.59|
|Agent Carter (O)||😦 😦||0.8||0.54|
|Nashville (O)||😦 😦||1.03||0.70|
|Castle (O)||😦 😦||1.1||0.74|
|The Family (O)||😦 😦||1.15||0.78|
|The Muppets (O)||😦 😦||1.31||0.89|
|American Crime (O)||😐 😐 😐||0.93||0.63|
|Dr. Ken (F) (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.16||0.78|
|Last Man Standing (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.24||0.84|
|The Real O’Neals (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.85||1.25|
|Agents of SHIELD (O)||Renewed||1.43||0.97|
|Fresh Off the Boat||Renewed||1.44||0.97|
|Once Upon a Time (O)||Renewed||1.57||1.06|
|How to Get Away with Murder (O)||Renewed||1.95||1.32|
|Grey’s Anatomy (O)||Renewed||2.33||1.57|
A few of the shows ABC did not pick up last week will eventually join the schedule for next season. Just don’t expect “The Family” to be one of them.
After an OK start on Thursday (1.5 in adults 18-49), the show lost nearly half that number in its Sunday debut, slumping to a 0.8. That’s below the average “Blood & Oil” had in the fall, and “Blood & Oil” was cut short and canceled.
ABC’s other premiere last week, “The Real O’Neals,” starts out as a safe bet for renewal, although its real test will come when it moves to its regular Tuesday home.
As for that mass renewal, it doesn’t change the picture much. The Bear had all 11 scripted shows ABC picked up rated as likely renewals or sure things.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.