nashville-renew-cancel-wk-9

ABC scripted average through Nov. 22: 1.68

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Wicked City (O) Canceled 0.67 0.40
Blood & Oil (O) DSW 1 0.60
Nashville (O) 😦 😦 1.08 0.64
Castle (O) 😦 😦 1.13 0.67
Last Man Standing (F) 😐 😐 😐 1.23 0.73
The Muppets (O) 😐 😐 😐 1.64 0.98
Dr. Ken (F) (O) 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 1.26 0.75
Quantico (O) 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 1.54 0.92
Fresh Off the Boat 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 1.58 0.94
Once Upon a Time (O) 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 1.64 0.98
Black-ish (O) 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 1.91 1.14
The Middle 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 2.04 1.21
Agents of SHIELD (O) 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 1.45 0.86
How to Get Away with Murder (O) 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 2.12 1.26
The Goldbergs 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 2.19 1.30
Grey’s Anatomy (O) 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 2.38 1.42
Scandal (O) 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 2.52 1.50
Modern Family 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 2.83 1.68

 

“Nashville” will end the fall as ABC’s third lowest-rated series, with only the canceled “Wicked City” and Dead Show Walking “Blood & Oil” coming in lower. It’s not a cheap show to make, and it occupies a potentially valuable spot on ABC’s schedule.

So will ABC announce at some point before it returns in March that this spring will be the final run for the show? It could easily go that way — and if not, a less dignified May whacking could be at hand.

“Nashville” has never been a top-end performer for ABC, but it put up OK numbers in its first couple seasons, then faded some last season. It’s down again this fall, with an eight-episode average 24 percent below the first eight shows a year ago.

Signs point to “Nashville” following the “Revenge” path this season, getting over the 80-episode mark and bowing out with no encores.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
😥 sure bet to be canceled by May 2016
😦 😦 likely to be canceled by May 2016
😐 😐 😐 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 likely to be renewed by May 2016
😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 sure bet to be renewed by May 2016


The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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