Here are ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 1 of the 2018-19 season, and why one freshman drama’s lukewarm premiere may not have hurt its chances at a second season.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
How to Get Away with Murder (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.8 0.2
A Million Little Things (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.1 0.5
The Good Doctor 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.3 0.7
Single Parents 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.3 0.7
The Goldbergs 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.4 0.8
Modern Family 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.6 1.0
Grey’s Anatomy (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.9 1.3
American Housewife (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.2 0.6

 

While “A Million Little Things” wasn’t quite the freshman drama hit that ABC was likely hoping it would be, its lukewarm premiere may still not have diminished its chances at a second season.

The series earned a 1.1 rating with its premiere, failing to take the no. 1 spot in the 10 p.m. hour Wednesday night. However, it matched the “Designated Survivor” season premiere in the same time slot last year, and without the kind of behind-the-scenes production issues that led to the demise of “Designated Survivor,” ABC may still be considering a second season for “A Million Little Things.” That could prove to be especially true, if the show can maintain a steady ratings performance in the coming weeks.

So the chances of “A Million Little Things” getting a second season are looking OK for right now, but the Bear will be keeping an eye on it.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2019

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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