Here are ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 10 of the 2018-19 season, and how one comedy’s steady performance this year (along with an added advantage) has kept its future intact.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Splitting Up Together 🐻 🐻 0.73 0.13
Speechless (F) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.50 0.12
How to Get Away with Murder (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.76 0.16
The Rookie (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.79 0.19
A Million Little Things (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.81 0.21
Fresh Off the Boat (F) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.60 0.26
Black-ish (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.93 0.33
Single Parents 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.99 0.39
Station 19 (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.03 0.43
American Housewife (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.03 0.43
The Kids Are Alright (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.06 0.46
The Good Doctor 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.12 0.52
The Goldbergs 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.23 0.63
Modern Family 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.38 0.78
The Conners 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.64 1.04
Grey’s Anatomy (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.63 1.03

 

The Bear doesn’t think Katie Otto and the rest of her family members have to worry about losing their places at the ABC dinner table next season.

The series has been holding well in the ratings this fall, with a 1.03 average in adults 18-49, and is closer to a syndication deal than any of this year’s other third season shows. With that milestone not far off, and “American Housewife’s” continued presence in the network’s top 10 highest-rated shows, the Bear is pretty confident about the show’s renewal chances.

Meanwhile, the Bear feels less sure about “The Kids Are Alright” than he did earlier in the season, after the show has experienced a gradual ratings decline the past several weeks. The Bear is letting it remain a likely renewal for right now, but should it continue to fall much farther, the Bear may have to demote it to a tossup – if not worse.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2019

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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