Here are ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 11 of the 2017-18 season, which are still on the fence for a comedy series.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|The Middle||Final season||1.33||0.63|
|Scandal (O)||Final season||1.16||0.46|
|Ten Days in the Valley||DSW||0.43||-0.27|
|Kevin (Probably) Saves the World (O)||🐻 🐻||0.74||0.04|
|Once Upon a Time (F) (O)||🐻 🐻||0.55||0.09|
|Inhumans (F) (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.59||0.14|
|Agents of SHIELD (F) (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.60||0.16|
|The Mayor (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.83||0.13|
|Fresh Off the Boat||🐻 🐻 🐻||1.08||0.38|
|How to Get Away with Murder (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.93||0.23|
|Designated Survivor (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.81||0.11|
|Speechless||🐻 🐻 🐻||1.14||0.44|
|Black-ish (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.15||0.45|
|American Housewife (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.31||0.61|
|The Good Doctor||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.91||1.21|
|Grey’s Anatomy (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.97||1.27|
“Fresh Off the Boat” is pretty much a textbook tossup show right now. Its ratings currently rank seventh among ABC’s eight comedies, and although it’s built up a decent-sized library (80-plus by season’s end), ABC’s parent company, Disney, isn’t going to make back-end money on the show since it’s produced by 20th Century Fox TV.
Or rather, Disney at the moment isn’t going to make back-end money on “Fresh Off the Boat.” Should a much-discussed merger of Fox and Disney go through, the show would become an in-house production. In that case, the Bear would probably rethink his prediction.
For now, however, “Fresh Off the Boat” remains a tossup. We’ll see how things play out both in the Nielsen ratings and in the executive suites as the season progresses.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2018|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.