Here are ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 16 of the 2018-19 season, and some thoughts on how the future of the network’s newest rookie comedy is shaping up.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Splitting Up Together 🐻 🐻 0.72 0.12
Speechless (F) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.49 0.10
How to Get Away with Murder (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.76 0.16
The Rookie (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.77 0.17
A Million Little Things (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.80 0.20
Fresh Off the Boat (F) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.61 0.27
Black-ish (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.90 0.30
Single Parents 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.96 0.36
Station 19 (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.03 0.43
American Housewife (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.03 0.43
The Kids Are Alright (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.03 0.43
The Good Doctor 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.09 0.49
The Goldbergs 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.23 0.63
Schooled 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.30 0.70
Modern Family 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.37 0.77
The Conners 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.59 0.99
Grey’s Anatomy (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.63 1.03

 

ABC debuted its highly talked about 1990s-set “Goldbergs” spin-off, “Schooled,” last week, and the Bear thinks the series got off to a good enough start in the ratings.

The show maintained 100% of its “Goldbergs” lead-in’s 1.3 rating in the adults 18-49 demo, tying with “Single Parents” as the network’s third-best series premiere of the season. It scored better than “American Housewife” did in the same time slot all fall, and held onto a healthy percentage of its lead-in’s audience.

It is, of course, too soon to make any official calls on the show’s future, but the Bear is leaving it as a likely renewal for the time being. ABC clearly has high hopes for the series, and with a strong debut performance in the ratings, “Schooled” has started its season off in a fairly healthy position. Granted, all it would take is a steady ratings decline in the coming weeks for that to change.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2019

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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