Here are ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 18 of the 2017-18 season.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|The Middle||Final season||1.35||0.65|
|Scandal (O)||Final season||1.18||0.48|
|Ten Days in the Valley (some Sat.)||Canceled||0.36||-0.34|
|Kevin (Probably) Saves the World (O)||🐻 🐻||0.7||0.0|
|Once Upon a Time (F) (O)||🐻 🐻||0.54||0.07|
|Inhumans (F) (O)||🐻 🐻||0.59||0.14|
|Agents of SHIELD (F) (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.6||0.16|
|The Mayor (O)||Canceled||0.82||0.12|
|Fresh Off the Boat||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.07||0.37|
|How to Get Away with Murder (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.94||0.24|
|Designated Survivor (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.81||0.11|
|Speechless||🐻 🐻 🐻||1.16||0.46|
|Black-ish (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.13||0.43|
|American Housewife (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.29||0.59|
|The Good Doctor||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.85||1.15|
|Grey’s Anatomy (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||2.04||1.34|
Since the Bear last pondered “Fresh Off the Boat,” not much has changed. Its ratings now are virtually identical to what they were then.
Still, the Bear is giving the show a bump up to likely renewal, on the belief that ABC and its not-yet-partner studio 20th Century Fox TV will come to a deal to keep the show on the air. It’s not the most confident this ursine has ever been in a prediction, but it feels right.
With “The Middle” leaving the network and the return of “Roseanne” a ratings X factor (to say nothing of the network’s remaining original comedies this season), ABC needs some known quantities to keep its comedy blocks running smoothy. “FOTB” is that kind of asset, which is why it’s getting the upgrade.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2018|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.