Here are ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 19 of the 2018-19 season. The network’s highest-rated drama doesn’t look like it’s going anywhere either.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|A Million Little Things (O)||Renewed||0.87||0.27|
|The Good Doctor||Renewed||1.11||0.51|
|Splitting Up Together||🐻 🐻||0.71||0.11|
|How to Get Away with Murder (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.73||0.13|
|The Rookie (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.75||0.15|
|Single Parents||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.92||0.32|
|The Kids Are Alright (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.99||0.39|
|Speechless (F)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.51||0.13|
|Black-ish (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.88||0.28|
|Fresh Off the Boat (F)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.63||0.30|
|Station 19 (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.03||0.43|
|American Housewife (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.03||0.43|
|Schooled||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.13||0.53|
|The Goldbergs||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.23||0.63|
|The Conners||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.55||0.95|
|Grey’s Anatomy (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.66||1.06|
Some quick notes before getting into the main topic of this week’s post…
Yesterday ABC renewed “A Million Little Things,” “The Good Doctor,” and “Modern Family” for the 2019-20 TV season, the latter of which will be returning for its eleventh and final season. But even more importantly, the Bear had called all three likely renewals, especially after “A Million Little Things” improved its ratings performance with its move to Thursday nights.
Speaking of ABC’s Thursday night lineup too, the Bear is making an easy call today: “Grey’s Anatomy” is a sure bet to be renewed for another season.
From a ratings perspective alone, with a 1.66 live + same day average among adults 18-49 this year, the long-running series is still ABC’s highest-rated show, and as its new lead-in, has been instrumental in boosting the ratings for “A Million Little Things.”
Additionally, in an interview yesterday, Karey Burke, the President of ABC Entertainment, all but confirmed that ABC is planning on renewing the show. So to put it simply: if “Grey’s Anatomy” was ending this year – we would have heard about it by now. It’ll be back for at least one more season.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2019|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.